Complexity Digest 2000.31

31-Jul-2000

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  1. California Electrical System Is On The Verge Of Failure, NYTimes Next Article Bookmark and Share

    "Four years after it led the nation into a sweeping deregulation of the electric industry, California is at the brink of a breakdown in its power supply. Yesterday, as a heat wave caused electric demand to soar across the West, the nation's most populous state nearly ran out of power for the third straight day. To reduce the strain on California's electric grid, regulators ordered utilities to curtail supplies to big commercial users that have agreed to cut their electric consumption in times of shortage."

    The electrical power grid is one of those networks that are essential for the working of industrialized nations. It has been recognized for quite a while that the distribution and flow of electrical energy across those networks shares many properties of complex adaptive systems. It is therefore surprising that it is controlled by rather crude techniques like regulators ordering (sic!) commercial users to cut their electric consumption in times of shortage. This smells like an anachronism left over from last centuries centrally planned economies in Eastern Europe in a time of globally networked microcomputers. One might wonder why in such a vital area of society the experts didn't come up with anything more intelligent than "rolling blackouts" to respond to highly fluctuating demands.

    There are examples of more adaptive , market based control mechanism for instance in the air travel industry. Here, too, the demand is a highly varying variable which is not completely unpredictable: Airlines respond to this fluctuating demand by a correspondingly adaptive pricing policy for tickets: For the same service "travel from A to B" the air-fair can differ by more than an order of magnitude depending on the time of the flight and ticket purchase.

    The idea is not new to have electrical appliances remotely controlled for instance by signals transmitted through the power-lines or using "Blue Tooth" technology . If the power company would introduce a price policy that is coupled to the state's reserve power margin ("electric power supply") they could broadcast the current market price for electricity directly to the appliances that could be programmed for what prices to "buy electricity" or turn themselves off..

    In that way one would introduce a control landscape that would leave the decision to the user when they buy how much electricity instead of having a fixed price for electricity and dictate the user in times of high demand when it can be used or not.


  2. Music Revolution On The Internet, Wired News Next Article Bookmark and Share

    It has been suggested that music is part of our genetic past (ComDig 00-28.8) and has provided evolutionary advantages such as enhanced group identity and coordination. Music also seems to play a central role for every new generation to find a their identity and distinguish teenagers and college students from the older adults over thirty.

    As a consequence it has become a major economical force and brought considerable wealth to individual musicians and their "record labels". With the Internet and music compression formats like mp3 (which allows to store music of 20 CD's in the space of one) the tradition of "pressing" records and selling them in stores might soon be over. Advertisement for a band or a musician is done through websites, the distribution of music can be done through sharing music files among hard-drives of the music audience with programs like "napster". Micro-payment software will allow artists to collect fees for each song directly from the listener.

    In a way the Internet (MP3) music community constitutes already a sub-network on the Internet/Global Brain that plays an avant-garde role of the coming information society. As in basically all historical revolutions, the existing stakeholders in traditional music business will struggle to keep their economic power base. The current legal battle against Napster also shows that the Internet allows to instantly bypass the "attacked" nodes in the network in the case that it should be shut down. This adaptability makes the Internet (together with their human users) less vulnerable to attacks against central nodes than simple "scale-free networks" (ComDig 00-29.3).

    "92 percent. That's how much the traffic increased on Napster last week over the previous week after the company was ordered shut down by order of Judge Marilyn Patel. Two days later, the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals came to the rescue and granted Napster its much ballyhooed stay, but the legions of file-trading lovers had already been counted."


  3. Ecstasy Use Depletes Brain's Serotonin Levels, Am.Acad. Neurol./Science Daily Next Article Bookmark and Share

    Use of the recreational drug Ecstasy causes a severe reduction in the amount of serotonin in the brain, according to a study in the July 25 issue of Neurology, the scientific journal of the American Academy of Neurology.

    The study examined the brain of a 26-year-old man who had died of a drug overdose. He had been using Ecstasy for nine years, and in the last months of his life had also started using cocaine and heroin. His brain was compared to those from autopsies of 11 healthy people.

    "The levels of serotonin and another chemical associated with serotonin were 50 to 80 percent lower in the brain of the Ecstasy user," said study author Stephen Kish, PhD, of the Centre for Addiction and Mental Health in Toronto, Canada. "This is the first study to show that this drug can deplete the level of serotonin in humans."

    Ecstasy, which is known chemically as methylenedioxymethamphetamine, or MDMA, is structurally related to the hallucinogen mescaline and the stimulant amphetamine. MDMA causes neurons, or nerve cells, to release serotonin, a neurotransmitter that controls mood, pain perception, sleep, appetite and emotions. Ecstasy users report an increased awareness of emotion and a heightened sense of intimacy.

    "Some of the behavioral effects of this drug are probably due to the massive release and depletion of serotonin," Kish said. "And the depression that people feel after going off the drug could also be explained by the depletion of serotonin in the brain."

    The low levels of serotonin were found in the striatal area of the brain, which plays a key role in coordinating movement. In addition to serotonin, the level of 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid, also known as 5-HIAA and a major breakdown product of serotonin, was also low in the brain of the Ecstasy user.

    "Of course, these findings should be confirmed through additional studies," Kish said. "Conclusions based on a single case can only be tentative."

    Researchers confirmed the man's drug use through analysis of his brain, blood and hair. The analysis also confirmed that he had been using cocaine and heroin in the last months of his life. Kish said other research has shown that those drugs do not affect serotonin levels.

    The man started using Ecstasy once a month at age 17. His usage increased, and in the last three years of his life he used it four to five nights a week at "rave" clubs, usually including a three-day weekend binge during which he took six to eight tablets. On the day after these binges, his friends said he appeared depressed and had slow speech, movement and reaction time.

    Kish said research should also be done to determine whether increasing serotonin levels in people who are going off the drug would help eliminate some of the behavioral problems that occur during withdrawal.


  4. Rosetta Stone For Tumor Suppressor Protein In Worms, Jefferson Med. Col./Science Daily Next Article Bookmark and Share

    Uncovering the structure of a "Rosetta Stone" protein may help scientists understand how cells are programmed to die, and in turn, the role loss of the process plays in cancer. (…) First proposed in 1999 by researchers at UCLA, Rosetta Stone proteins occur when two proteins that are separate in some forms of life are fused in another form of life. The fusion "event" almost always reveals a previously hidden interaction between the two nonrelated proteins.

    "This may be the first example in cancer biology of separate proteins in one form of life fused in another," says Dr. Brenner, who is a member of Jefferson's Kimmel Cancer Center. One of the two proteins, Fhit, has been implicated in many common human cancers. Dr. Brenner and his co-workers report their results July 27 in the journal Current Biology. (…)

    In 1998, Dr. Brenner's group, working with Drs. Huebner and Croce, determined the 3-dimensional structure of the Fhit protein in its active form. Later in 1998, the same researchers discovered that in the fruitfly Drosophila melanogaster and the flatworm Caenorhabditis elegans, the Fhit protein is naturally fused to an unrelated protein called Nit. Curiously, the NitFhit fusion protein is found in invertebrates, while vertebrates such as humans and mice and fungi such as baker's yeast contain separate Nit and Fhit proteins. Scientists believe that gene and protein fusions occur because pairs of proteins work in the same biological pathways. In the case of Nit and Fhit, he says, "if you found a Nit and Fhit sequence in the mouse and human, you would have no initial idea that they function in the same pathway," he says. "In finding them as part of the same polypeptide in invertebrates, there's an indication that they do."

    Because the human Fhit protein is inactivated in many human cancers and loss of Fhit leads to cells with defects in programmed cell death, the scientists wanted to discover additional proteins in the Fhit pathway. When they examined the expression of Nit and Fhit in the mouse, they saw both proteins rise and fall in seven of eight tissues almost identically. They also found Nit in every organism in which they had found Fhit. These results made the case for NitFhit as a Rosetta Stone protein very strong. (…)

    The Jefferson scientists are particularly encouraged that the flatworm is a leading system in which to study cell death. According to Dr. Brenner, the structure of NitFhit tells us that Fhit is functioning in a large complex with Nit in the worm. Following the activity of Nit in worms and other organisms "ought to take us to the next vista point.


  5. Artificial Ecosystem Selection, PNAS Next Article Bookmark and Share

    For a number of years there has been a debate among biologists if evolutionary principles can be generalized beyond individual species. There has been some reports of "group selection" for instance that a breeding a group of animals to improve performance (e.g. hens producing eggs) leads to better results than selecting from the performance of individual animals. Opposition against such a generalization of evolutionary principles were mainly based on theoretical arguments.

    Swenson et al. claim that selection principles can be generalized to whole ecosystems with many competing species because phenotypic variation has a heritable basis. They showed experimentally that soil ecosystems can be selected according to their above ground biomass and that they evolve under this selective pressure better than predicted from theoretical models. They also point out that artificial ecosystem selection ("breeding") can have many practical applications:

    "Difficult biological problems, such as the breakdown of toxic substances in the soil, might similarly require coordinated teams of species rather than a single species. Creating these teams from the 'bottom up,' by testing many different species in many combinations, is possible in principle but difficult in practice. Ecosystem selection provides a simple 'top down' alternative, by creating a large number of ecosystems heritable phenotypic variation at the level of ecosystems, which allows their properties to be shaped by standard artificial selection procedures."


  6. Species Diversity Driven By Milankovitch Climate Oscillations, PNAS Next Article Bookmark and Share

    Abstract: We suggest Milankovitch climate oscillations as a common cause for geographical patterns in species diversity, species' range sizes, polyploidy, and the degree of specialization and dispersability of organisms. Periodical changes in the orbit of the Earth cause climatic changes termed Milankovitch oscillations, leading to large changes in the size and location of species' geographical distributions. We name these recurrent changes "orbitally forced species' range dynamics" (ORD). The magnitude of ORD varies in space and time. ORD decreases gradual speciation (attained by gradual changes over many generations), increases range sizes and the proportions of species formed by polyploidy and other "abrupt" mechanisms, selects against specialization, and favor dispersability. Large ORD produces species prone neither to extinction nor gradual speciation. ORD increases with latitude. This produces latitudinal patterns, among them the gradient in species diversity and species' range sizes (Rapoport's rule). Differential ORD and its evolutionary consequences call for new conservation strategies on the regional to global scale.

  7. Giant Honeybees Return To Their Nest Sites, Nature Next Article Bookmark and Share

    There are numerous examples from many animal species who migrate mostly seasonally over considerable distances and return to precisely the same location every year. The precise mechanism of this spatial memory is not known in many (all?) cases although much progress has been made to understand animal navigation based on magnetic or topographic cues. From salmons to migrating birds and whales, however, at least one could assume that the memory of the home site resides in individual animals who "remember" where they were coming from.

    Two groups report now that even certain species of bees find their way back to their home site although none of the scouting bees has ever been there. Based on genetic analysis they could identify that swarms with the same queen have returned to exactly the same site for several years even in one case where the site was not available in one year. That would imply that the swarm had somehow "remembered" the location of the site over a period of two years. It is known that all worker bees simply don't live long enough to survive the round trip between two sites. Only the queen lives for several years but it is hard to imagine that she is communicating the location of the home sites to the swarm. Other theoretical explanations based on characteristic odors are not very convincing over such large distances in space and time.


  8. Nitric Oxide And Salicylic Acid Signaling In Plant Defense, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. Next Article Bookmark and Share

    Abstract: Salicylic acid (SA) plays a critical signaling role in the activation of plant defense responses after pathogen attack. We have identified several potential components of the SA signaling pathway, including (i) the H2O2-scavenging enzymes catalase and ascorbate peroxidase, (ii) a high affinity SA-binding protein (SABP2), (iii) a SA-inducible protein kinase (SIPK), (iv) NPR1, an ankyrin repeat-containing protein that exhibits limited homology to I B and is required for SA signaling, and (v) members of the TGA/OBF family of bZIP transcription factors. These bZIP factors physically interact with NPR1 and bind the SA-responsive element in promoters of several defense genes, such as the pathogenesis-related 1 gene (PR-1). Recent studies have demonstrated that nitric oxide (NO) is another signal that activates defense responses after pathogen attack. NO has been shown to play a critical role in the activation of innate immune and inflammatory responses in animals. Increases in NO synthase (NOS)-like activity occurred in resistant but not susceptible tobacco after infection with tobacco mosaic virus. Here we demonstrate that this increase in activity participates in PR-1 gene induction. Two signaling molecules, cGMP and cyclic ADP ribose (cADPR), which function downstream of NO in animals, also appear to mediate plant defense gene activation (e.g., PR-1). Additionally, NO may activate PR-1 expression via an NO-dependent, cADPR-independent pathway. Several targets of NO in animals, including guanylate cyclase, aconitase, and mitogen-activated protein kinases (e.g., SIPK), are also modulated by NO in plants. Thus, at least portions of NO signaling pathways appear to be shared between plants and animals.

  9. A Dynamic Model Of Social Network Formation, PNAS Next Article Bookmark and Share

    Abstract: We consider a dynamic social network model in which agents play repeated games in pairings determined by a stochastically evolving social network. Individual agents begin to interact at random, with the interactions modeled as games. The game payoffs determine which interactions are reinforced, and the network structure emerges as a consequence of the dynamics of the agents' learning behavior. We study this in a variety of game-theoretic conditions and show that the behavior is complex and sometimes dissimilar to behavior in the absence of structural dynamics. We argue that modeling network structure as dynamic increases realism without rendering the problem of analysis intractable.

  10. U.S. Proposes New Strategy to Fight Global Warming, NYTimes Next Article Bookmark and Share

    The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Energy Laboratory has joined forces with seven companies to launch a new industrial consortium that will support research on carbon sequestration, or capturing carbon dioxide before it reaches the atmosphere.

    The consortium, called the Carbon Sequestration Initiative (CSI), began July 1st and has charter members of American Electric Power, BP Amoco, Ford Motor Company, General Motors, Norsk Hydro (Norway), Texaco and TotalFinaElf (France).

    The carbon sequestration strategy involves capturing carbon dioxide emissions at their source and/or enhancing natural processes to increase the removal of carbon from the atmosphere, such as by planting trees.

    The idea of reducing the emission of all greenhouse gases, but especially carbon dioxide, is at the center of the climate change debate. Should emissions limits on greenhouse gases come to pass, scientists see companies in all industrial sectors quickly becoming interested in identifying and evaluating their options for controlling their carbon dioxide emissions.

    "Carbon sequestration has been gaining increasing international attention as a potential complement to current carbon dioxide-mitigation strategies such as improved energy efficiency and increased use of non-carbon energy sources," said Howard Herzog, director of the Carbon Sequestration Initiative and a principal research engineer at MIT.

    "More than 85 percent of the world's energy needs are now met using fossil fuels, and carbon sequestration would let us continue using fossil fuels while we develop acceptable alternatives."

    Carbon sequestration activities are already being used by several commercial entities. MIT notes that some power plants now capture carbon dioxide for commercial markets, and petroleum companies inject carbon dioxide into the ground for enhanced oil recovery. At an offshore platform in the North Sea, carbon dioxide is injected into a saline aquifer 1,000 meters below the seafloor, sequestering a million tons of carbon dioxide annually.

    MIT's Energy Laboratory has conducted research into technologies to capture, utilize and sequester carbon dioxide emissions from large stationary sources since 1989 and is recognized internationally as a leader in this field. To improve public understanding of carbon sequestration, CSI will perform outreach activities to help educate a wider audience on the possible uses of carbon sequestration. It will also link industry to expanding governmental research activities in this area and will help identify new business opportunities."

    "Preparing for renewed international negotiations on cutting levels of heat-trapping gases that may be warming the climate, the United States is proposing that countries get just as much credit for using forests and farmers' fields to sop up carbon dioxide, the chief warming gas, as they would for cutting emissions from smokestacks and tail pipes." (NYTimes, 2/8/00)


  11. Movement In Super-Cooled Water, Boston Univ/Science Daily Next Article Bookmark and Share

    H. Eugene Stanley and colleagues at the Center for Polymer Studies at Boston University and at the Universite di Roma La Sapienza have created a computer model that is useful in understanding how molecules move through super-cooled water. Papers in the current issue of the journal Nature and in May 15th issue of Physical Review Letters describe the results of their work, which was supported, in part, by the National Science Foundation.

    Understanding the mechanisms of super-cooled water, that is between the temperatures of 0 degrees and -38 degrees C, is key to understanding the processes that allow life to continue in sub-zero conditions. These conditions exist, for example, in the cells of plants that continue to metabolize through the winter, albeit at a slower pace - like a hibernating bear. Essential to this metabolism is the fact that water can exist in a viscous state, not just as the liquid we are familiar with, nor frozen (which would block all metabolism), but in the super-cooled state that scientists describe as glassy. Understanding just how these molecules of super-cooled water move, carrying nutrients to the cells of the plants in this low energy environment, has baffled scientists for some time.

    "What we found," Emilia La Nave, principal author on one of the papers, "is that how molecules diffuse through super-cooled liquid depends upon the way energy is distributed throughout the liquid - its 'energy landscape'."

    "A useful analog," she continues, "is a drunken mountaineer amidst a large and confusing mountain range trying to find his way home. Even though drunk, the mountaineer will be sensible enough to find the mountain passes and stumble through them rather than climb over each peak! The key to understanding the path of the mountaineer lies in the topology of the landscape he traverses - he picks the path of least resistance."

    Similarly, by analyzing the "energy landscape" of super-cooled water it is possible to make predictions about how molecules will diffuse through the liquid. This give us a better understanding about how life survives at temperatures below zero.


  12. Does The Corpus Callosum Enable The Human Condition?, Response Next Article Bookmark and Share

    In ComDig 00-25.8:
    • >Thus, while language emerged in the left hemisphere at the cost of pre-
    • >existing perceptual systems, the critical features of the bilaterally present
    • >perceptual system were spared in the opposite half-brain. By having the
    • >callosum serve as the great communication link between redundant systems,
    • >a pre-existing system could be jettisoned as new functions developed in one
    • >hemisphere, while the other hemisphere could continue to perform the previous
    • >functions for both half-brains.

    This theory could be tested by studying people who had hemispherectomy at an early age. (For a clinical review of some cases, see http://www.c3.hu/~mavideg/jns/642696june1.html.) Hemispherectomy has been done since the 1950s, so there should be some patients available. This theory would predict that, for example, you wouldn't find a hemispherectomy patient with full functionality in both language processing and facial recognition.

    But I've never heard of any such studies, and a quick web search didn't turn up anything specific. However, there was some general evidence that casts doubt on this hypothesis.

    http://sulcus.berkeley.edu/mcb165/mcb165sp98tPaper/mcb165sp98R.manuscript/_195.html has a discussion of plasticity in hemispherectomies, stating that both motor and language functions can be moved to the surviving hemisphere.

    http://hopkins.med.jhu.edu/NewsMedia/press/1997/JULY/970707.HTM doesn't have many details, but does contain this intriguing sentence: "While transference of speech to the remaining hemisphere may occur in children as old as 13, in many hemispherectomy patients damage in the speech area has caused language to be transferred before the operation."

    http://www.execpc.com/cwlpubent/brain5.htm describes the type of deficits this theory would predict, but is trying to make a point about different hemisphere functioning. Notably, he did not include examples of hemispherectomy of young children.


  13. Links & Snippets Next Article Bookmark and Share

    1. The Web And The Internet, AIMR Webcast Next Article Bookmark and Share

      Dean LeBaron presents an overview of what the future could be in the investment industry using the Internet as a tool. This Webcast is available online in video and audio format (for slow internet connections.) This presentation also has slides available for download.


    2. Organic Lasers Promise New Lease On Light, Science Next Article Bookmark and Share

      Many of today's lasers are made from ceramic chips that require expensive clean-room facilities to manufacture, and their color palette is somewhat limited. Researchers have long pinned their hopes on organic materials, which are typically easier and cheaper to process. Now, on page 599, a team reports that they've devised the first electrically powered solid state organic laser, a step that could open the floodgates for novel lasers that are cheaper and that shine in colors inorganics can't match.


    3. In Europe, Hooligans Are Prime Subjects For Research, Science Next Article Bookmark and Share

      One of the few burgeoning areas of violence research here and in Europe is football hooliganism. With lower homicide rates than in the United States and fewer incidences of killing sprees such as the Littleton school shooting, Europeans are less concerned about violence than Americans are--and that translates into less money for research on the topic. Moreover, some scientists argue that strict regulation of animal studies has dealt a severe blow to a once-proud European tradition of behavioral research on animal aggression.


    4. Searching For The Mark Of Cain, Science Next Article Bookmark and Share

      Hampered by political, ethical, and methodological problems, a small group of researchers is trying to understand the biological roots of violence. The field has generated some interesting findings and hypotheses about how hormones, genes, and the brain control aggressive behavior. But although the goal is to ultimately find a treatment for violent behavior, researchers emphasize that they are not advocating drugging everybody who has ever committed a crime--or is deemed prone to do so.


    5. The Snarls And Sneers That Keep Violence At Bay, Science Next Article Bookmark and Share

      The ability to mete out violence appears to be linked to survival in the animal kingdom. But a handful of researchers is now making a persuasive case that scores are settled far more often by subtle, nonviolent signals such as a curled lip or a snarl. Their provocative idea is that inflicting violence on a member of one's own species is a pathological condition that arises when these signals are missed or misinterpreted.


    6. The Violence Of The Lambs, Science Next Article Bookmark and Share

      Researchers are increasingly coming to view violence as the end result of multiple risk factors that may include a biological vulnerability that can be brought out or reinforced by social environment. Longitudinal studies are demonstrating that children who become chronically violent adults generally are difficult from early childhood. But just which early risk factors are most powerful, and how they interact, is proving very tough to sort out.


    7. Has America's Tide Of Violence Receded For Good?, Science Next Article Bookmark and Share

      Experts in the young field of violence epidemiology blame guns and crack cocaine for America's deadly crime surge in the early 1990s. Explaining the subsequent decline in violent crime rates has been more difficult, however. Some of the factors that seem to have helped squelch crime could be temporary, such as low unemployment rates. But others, including a growing intolerance for violence as a means of settling interpersonal disputes, seem to have become cultural norms.


    8. Early Insult Rewires Pain Circuits, Science Next Article Bookmark and Share

      "On page 628, neuroscientists report that painful stimuli delivered to rats shortly after birth permanently rewire the spinal cord circuits that respond to pain. Not only do the circuits contain more axons, but the axons extend to more areas of the spinal cord than they normally would. (…)"

      "Ruda et al. (…) show that hindlimb inflammation in rat pups triggers exuberant growth of small-diameter, pain-transmitting axons in the dorsal horn of the spinal cord. These changes are coupled with an increase in the sensitivity of the paw after inflammation in the adult. These results show that painful stimuli in early development can cause long-term alterations in the neuronal circuitry."


    9. Parasites Make Scaredy-Rats Foolhardy, Science Next Article Bookmark and Share

      In the 7 August issue of the Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B, researchers offer a striking demonstration of the ability of some parasites to alter the behavior of their hosts for their own benefit. Rats, the intermediate hosts of the protozoan Toxoplasma gondii, appear to lose their fear of cats, Toxoplasma's final host, when the parasite infects them. By precisely altering rat brains, the parasite potentially increases its chances of completing its life cycle.


    10. Still More Greenhouse Forcing, Science Bookmark and Share

      After all of the attention given to the known greenhouse gases, Sturges et al. (p. 611) have found a new potential warming threat: SF5CF3. This gas, the most potent greenhouse molecule found in the atmosphere to date, has only existed for the last 40 years or so. Its concentration is still low (about one tenth of a part per trillion in 1999) but is increasing, and its source is unknown. Because SF5CF3 has a long lifetime, it has the potential to be a major component in the radiative balance of Earth.


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